全民赢三张牌

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                  • CN
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                    光伏未来产业有多大?
                    2019-01-07

                      ZAIGONGYESHEHUISHIDAI,WULUNNAGEXINGYE,XINJIUGENGTIBUDUAN,KEJIBIANGEMEITIANDOUZAIFASHENG,XINCHANPINQUDAIJIUCHANPINFEICHANGCHANGJIAN。JISHISHIYIXIEJUYOUHUASHIDAIDECHANPINKENENGYEDIBUZHUSHIJIANDEQINXI,ZHUJIANLUOWUHETAOTAI,DANSHIYOUYIXINGYEQUEYIZHIZAIZENGZHANG,NEIJIUSHINENGYUANXINGYE。XIANDAIGONGYESHIDAI,DIANSHIZUIZHUYAODENENGYUANXINGSHI,YONGDIANLIANGZESHIYIGEGUOJIAGONGYEHUACHENGDUBIAOZHI,CONGZHANGYUANSHANGKAN,YONGDIANLIANGMEINIANDOUZAIDIZENG。


                      2018年中国全社会用电量为68449亿千瓦时,同比增长了8.5%。按照14亿人口计算,城乡居民人均用电量就是807度,每月人均用电量67.26度。目前中国依然是以火力发电为主,按照数据,火力发电量占全社会发电总量的比例约为72.96%。其次是水电占全社会发电总量的比例约为16.71%。之后就是风电,占全社会发电总量的比例约为4.7%,核能发电占全社会发电总量的比例约为4.28%,太阳能光伏发电全民赢三张牌只占全社会发电总量的比例约为1.35%。但是,中国依然保持了全球最大清洁能源发电和投资国地位。据统计,2018年中国对清洁能源的投资超过了1000亿美元,约为全球对清洁能源总投资的三分之一。而第二名的美国投资额仅仅只有600多亿美元。

                      ▲GURUIWATEWUKELAN5MWXIANGMUANLI

                      XIANGDUIYUHUOLIHESHUILIFADIAN,GUANGFUFADIANCHENGBENJIAOGAO,DANJIN10NIANLAI,GUANGFUCHANYEJISHUBUDUANJINBU,CHENGBENBUDUANXIAJIANG。ZAIGUOQUSHIJINIANZHONG,GUANGFUFADIANXITONGZAOJIACONG10MEIYUAN/WAJIANGDIDAO1MEIYUAN/WA,JIANGFUDADAO90%。QIZHONG,SHINIANQIANMEIWADANJINGGUIPIANSHICHANGSHOUJIA100YUAN,ERZUIJINYIJIANGZHI4.55YUAN,BUDAOSHINIANQIANDE5%。DUDIANCHENGBENZECONG1MEIYUAN/DUJIANGZHI0.1MEIYUAN/DUYIXIA,JINNIANLAIZAIZHONGDONGHENANMEISHENZHIYIJINGCHUXIANSHUGEDIYU3MEIFEN/DUDEDIANZHAN。2008NIANQUANQIUZUJIANCHUHUOLIANGTUPO10GW,DANGNIANZUJIANJIAGE>20YUAN/WA;2019NIANZUJIANCHUHUOLIANGCHAOGUO120GW,ERDANGXIAZUJIANJIAGE<1.8YUAN/WA。YEJIUSHISHUO,YONGTONGYANGDEJIAGE,JINTIANJIANDEDIANZHAN,YAOBI10NIANQIANDUO10BEIDEDIANLIANG。

                      GUOJIAFAGAIWEIHEGUOJIANENGYUANJUFABULE《NENGYUANSHENGCHANHEXIAOFEIGEMINGZHANLVE(2016—2030)》,QIZHONGMINGQUE,DAO2020NIANFEIHUASHINENGYUANZHANBIDADAO15%,2030NIANDADAO20%,2050NIANZHANBICHAOGUO50%。DANGQIANHEDIANFAZHANPENGDAOLEQIANSUOWEIYOUDEKUNNAN,SHUIDIAN、FENGDIANZEYIKAIFADAIJIN,BUKENENGCHUXIANDIANFUXINGDEBIANHUA,QUANQIUGEGUODOUMIANLINTONGYANGDEWENTI。SUOYIGUANGFUJIANGBEIJIYUHOUWANG。

                      CHUBUGUJIDAO2030NIAN,WOGUOMEINIANJIANGXIAOFEI10.2WANYIDU。RUGUODAOSHIGUANGFUFADIANLIANGZHANBIDADAO10%,JI1.1WANYIDUDIAN。GUANGFUZHISHAOXUYAOZHUANGJIDADAO8YIQIANWACAINENGWANCHENGZHEIYIMUBIAO。MUQIANLI2030NIANHAISHENG12NIAN,YAOXIANGDADAO8YIQIANWAZHUANGJI,CIHOUZHISHAOMEINIANXINZENGZHUANGJI5000WANQIANWA。

                      GUOJINENGYUANSHU(IEA)2019NIANFABUDE《SHIJIENENGYUANZHANWANGBAOGAO》,DUIYUGEGUOGELEINENGYUANFADIANDEQIANJINGZUOLESANZHONGQINGJINGFENXI:

                      1)MUQIANZHENGCEYANXU(current policies scenario,JIANCHENGCPS);2)SHISHIYIJINGCHENGNUODEZHENGCE(stated policy scenario,JIANCHENGSPS,JISHIXIANGEGUOZAIBALIXIEYIXIADEJIANPAICHENGNUO);3)SHIXIANKECHIXUFAZHANSUOXUYAODEZHENGCELIDU(sustainable development scenario,JIANCHENGSDS)。

                    全民赢三张牌  2018NIANQUANQIUGUANGFUZHUANGJI495JIWA,FADIANLIANG592TWh,ZHANDAOQUANQIUZONGFADIANLIANGDE2.2%。RUGUOANZHAOMUQIANGEGUODEZHENGCEYANXU(CPSQINGJING),NEIME2040NIANQUANQIUGUANGFUZHUANGJIKEDA2465JIWA,FADIANLIANGDA3658TWh,ZHANQUANQIUFADIANLIANGDE8.5%。RUGUOGEGUODOUQUANMIANLUOSHIBALIQIHOUXIEYIDECHENGNUO(SPSQINGJING),NEIME2040NIANQUANQIUGUANGFUZHUANGJIKEDA3142JIWA,FADIANLIANGDA4705TWh,ZHANQUANQIUFADIANLIANGDE11.4%。RUGUOANZHAOQUANQIUKECHIXUFAZHANDEMUBIAOYAOQIU(SDSQINGJING),NEIME2040NIANQUANQIUGUANGFUZHUANGJIYINGGAIDADAO4815JIWA,FADIANLIANGDA7208TWh,ZHANQUANQIUFADIANLIANGDE18.6%。

                      SUIZHETAIYANGNENGFADIANDEDAGUIMOYINGYONG,XIANDAIWENMINGDUIHUANJINGDEYINGXIANGHEPOHUAIJIANGDEDAOYOUXIAOEZHI,DAONEISHIQICHEBUZAIPAIFANGWEIQI,YANCONGBUZAIMAOYAN,QINGSHANLVSHUI,HUGUANGSHANSE,ZHENGGEDIQIUJIANGSHIYIGEKECHIXU、HEXIEFAZHANDEMEIHAOSHIJIE。SUOYISHUOGUANGFUCHANYEDAYOUKEWEI,WEILAIJISHINIAN、JIBAINIANDOUHUIBUDUANJINBUHEFAZHAN。



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